Umno-PAS: formidable political force

(NTH) = PAKATAN Harapan is panicking upon seeing the consolidation of the Umno-PAS political alliance.

The way PH went on offensive to belittle, ridicule and slam the Umno-PAS combo clearly showed that the ruling federal coalition was shaken although not necessarily stirred.

Who won’t be!

Umno-PAS is a formidable political force to be reckoned with that PH cannot ignore or brush aside with disdain.

Malay-Muslim Vote

Umno-PAS pact is based largely on Malay-Muslim unity, a crucial electoral factor, isn’t it?

Although PH won the 14th General Election (GE14), it didn’t win the majority Malay votes.

At a glance, Umno’s popular vote tally in GE14 was 2,548,251, followed by the DAP with 2,098,068.

PKR received 2,096,776, PAS got 2,041,580 followed by PPBM with 696,087 and PAN 648,274.

PPBM’s vote bank is a little over a quarter of Umno’s while PAN’s vote bank is bit under a third of PAS’.

Analysis showed that BN, mainly Umno, won 35% to 40% of Malay votes, followed by PAS at 30%-33% and PH combined at 25%-30%.

Had it not been three-corner duels in many Malay-Muslim majority seats in GE14, PH will not be the federal government today.

PH, consisting of PKR, DAP, PPBM and PAN, actually crawled over the finishing line with 45.56% popular votes.

A political block needs at least 112 parliamentary seats to form the federal government with a simple majority.

On GE14 election night of May 9, 2018, a wobbly PH barely scrapped past the post with just 113 seats, comprising PKR 47, DAP 42, Pribumi 13 and PAN 11.


A year later however, PH boasts 130 MPs, due to party hopping by political opportunists.

Umno won 54 federal seats on election night but now left with 38 as 16 MPs had defected – 12 frogging into PPBM and 2 others claiming to be independents.

Led by Tun Mahathir Mohamad, PH captured the federal government on an anti Barisan Nasional (BN) wave.

Initially, thanks public prolonged euphoria over BN’s historical defeat and extended political honeymoon period doled to a new government, PH enjoyed considerable public support at least until the end of 2018


Since the beginning of this year however, nothing seems has gone right for PH.

PH currently faces growing trust deficit and downturn in public support.

Disgruntled people have taken PH to task for failing to fulfill its pre-election promises, flip-flopping in its policies and making U-turns on many previous BN policies that PH leaders condemned outright in the past.

Promises to cut down cost of living; reduce prices of goods and services, especially fuel; erase National Higher Education Fund Corporation (PTPTN) loans; abolish highway tolls; provide free education; among others, have all gone down to the drain.

Mahathir’s subsequent statement to ridicule election manifesto as “not a holy book that one must adhere to” did not go down well with the voters.

In other words, Mahathir is saying that PH had conned its way to Putrajaya.

Voters felt insulted and humiliated by PH false election promises.

Now they yearn for retributions, hence growing public distrust and discontent.